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Saturday, January 11, 2025

October Analysis Roundup: What We’re Studying



By Leila Sullivan and Samantha Hagberg

The leaves are falling however the newest well being coverage analysis is evergreen! Final month we examine well being system competitors in metropolitan areas, well being care affordability previous to the American Rescue Plan (ARPA,) how excessive deductible medical insurance can exacerbate racial and ethnic wealth disparities, and about unmet dental, imaginative and prescient and listening to wants amongst low-income Medicare Benefit beneficiaries.

One or Two Well being Techniques Managed the Total Marketplace for Inpatient Hospital Care in Practically Half of Metropolitan Areas in 2022

Jamie Godwin, Zachary Levinson, and Tricia Neuman. KFF. October 1, 2024. Accessible right here.

This KFF article analyzed well being system market competitiveness utilizing RAND hospital knowledge from 2022 and the American Hospital Affiliation’s (AHA) Annual Survey Database. Researchers measured competitors in 3 ways: The share of metropolitan statistical space (MSAs) managed by a small quantity off well being programs, the extent of market focus in MSAs primarily based on the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI), and the share of hospitals affiliated with well being programs over a span of time. 

What it Finds

  • Between 1-2 well being programs managed your entire marketplace for inpatient hospital care in practically half (47%) of metropolitan areas in 2022.
  • In additional than 4-5 metropolitan areas (82%), 1-2 well being programs managed greater than 75% of the market; these markets have met the definition of extremely concentrated markets.
  • In 79% of MSAs (with populations lower than 200,000), 1-2 well being programs managed your entire marketplace for in-patient hospital care in 2022.
  • Practically all (97%) metropolitan areas had extremely concentrated markets for inpatient hospital care when making use of HHI thresholds from antitrust pointers to MSAs.
  • For instance, in Austin, TX, (2.4 million residents) two programs (HCA Healthcare and Ascension Well being) managed 85% of the inpatient hospital care market, although Austin is dwelling to greater than 4 well being programs.

Why it Issues

Nationwide well being spending rose to $4.5 trillion in 2022 and is projected to develop quicker than GDP by way of 2032. Not solely is that this inflicting an increase in healthcare prices for people, but additionally employers, states, and the federal authorities. Virtually one third of healthcare spending is funneled into hospitals. This evaluation makes plain the extent to which hospitals within the U.S. have consolidated their market energy, which they then use to demand increased costs from business insurers and well being plans.

Well being Care Affordability in Employer versus Non-public Nongroup Protection earlier than ARPA

Michael Karpman, Fredric Blavin, Jessica Banthin, and Vincent Pancini. City Institute. October 15, 2024. Accessible right here.

This City Institute report compares well being care affordability between households with employer-sponsored insurance coverage (ESI) and people with non-public non-group protection acquired by way of or exterior of the medical insurance Marketplaces. Utilizing Medical Expenditure Panel Survey Information from 2016-2019, earlier than the improved premium tax credit within the American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) of 2021 had been enacted, researchers analyze affordability measures amongst nonelderly adults in households the place each particular person had steady full-year ESI protection or a non-group plan.

What it Finds

  • Adults with non-group protection reported bigger common per-person out-of-pocket (OOP) premiums ($2,912 vs $1,126) and well being care prices ($1,010 vs $825) than adults with ESI. 
  • Non-group enrollees had been greater than twice as possible as these with ESI to report paying at the very least 10% of household earnings in direction of well being care prices (10.5% vs 3.8%). Amongst low-income adults, 24% of these with non-group protection reported OOP well being care prices exceeding 10% of earnings. 
  • Greater than 1 in 3 adults with non-group protection (36.4%) and over 1 in 5 adults with ESI (21.8%) reported delayed or forgone medical care, dental care, or pharmaceuticals they wanted prior to now 12 months due to excessive prices. In households with earnings beneath 400% of the federal poverty degree, 27% skilled delayed or forgone care with ESI, whereas 41.7% skilled the identical results with non-group protection. 
  • Adults with non-group protection had been extra possible than these with ESI to report issues with paying household medical payments prior to now 12 months (10.2% vs 6.9%).
  • Non-group enrollees had decrease common incomes and larger well being wants than these with ESI; the upper prevalence of affordability challenges amongst non-group enrollees might mirror their larger probability of selecting high-deductible well being plans (44.6% vs 36%) and decrease charges of dental protection (24.4% vs 76.8%).

Why it Issues

This evaluation reveals that households with business medical insurance face important affordability challenges. Individuals with particular person market (non-group) insurance coverage have had explicit challenges paying for and accessing well being care, in comparison with folks with ESI. Nonetheless, the enhancement of Market premium tax credit enacted in ARPA, and later prolonged by way of 2025 within the Inflation Discount Act, considerably improved affordability for non-group market enrollees. As reported, ARPA subsidies diminished out-of-pocket silver plan premiums by a mean of about $1,000 for low- and moderate-income Market enrollees. Over the following yr, Congress should determine whether or not to increase the ARPA/IRA subsidies past 2025. If Congress fails to increase these subsidies, a lot of the 21.4 million present Market enrollees will expertise a rise in premiums, and the Congressional Finances Workplace has projected that tens of millions will lose their protection.

Excessive-Deductible Well being Insurance coverage Might Exacerbate Racial And Ethnic Wealth Disparities

Naomi Zewde, Sergio Rodriguez, and Sherry Glied. Well being Affairs. October 2024. Accessible right here

This Well being Affairs examine analyzes the influence of high-deductible well being plans by way of the lens of racial and ethnic wealth disparities. Utilizing Medical Expenditure Panel Survey knowledge, researchers consider the online price (from 2011-2018) and monetary belongings (from 2011-2016) of households with non-public insurance coverage and people in high-deductible well being plans (HDHP). 

What it Finds

  • Low-income households had little in monetary holdings; monetary belongings had been lower than $1,000 for each Black and Hispanic households within the first earnings quartile.
  • White households ($4,100) within the lowest earnings quartile held monetary belongings that had been roughly 350% larger than these held by Black ($2,200) or Hispanic ($2,000) households at a comparable degree of earnings.
  • Black and Hispanic households held considerably much less wealth than White households. Black households held $68,500 in web price on the median — roughly half the median wealth of White households ($126,200). Hispanic households fell between the 2, at $88,700.
  • Throughout all earnings ranges, Black and Hispanic households with an HDHP and a well being care financial savings account (HSA) held between $34,000 and $40,000 in monetary belongings; then again, White households with an HDHP and HSA had simply over $55,000 in median monetary belongings.

Why it Issues

This examine signifies that low-income Black and Hispanic households with HDHPs and with out the disposable earnings to contribute to HSAs, are notably financially susceptible. Amongst folks with non-public insurance coverage, underlying Black-White and Hispanic-White wealth gaps create structural disparities within the affordability of well being providers. Coverage initiatives, such because the Inflation Discount Act’s enhanced premium tax credit, might scale back out-of-pocket liabilities. This in flip can mitigate households’ have to depend on amassed wealth to cowl healthcare bills. On the identical time, proposals to develop HSAs primarily profit increased earnings, White households. Policymakers ought to think about initiatives that scale back the necessity for households to take care of important monetary belongings with a view to entry care.

Value-Related Unmet Dental, Imaginative and prescient, And Listening to Wants Amongst Low-Earnings Medicare Benefit Beneficiaries

Avni Gupta, Kenton J. Johnston, Diana Silver, David J. Meyers, Sherry A. Glied, Jose A. Pagan. Well being Affairs. October 2024. Accessible right here.

This Well being Affairs examine checked out knowledge from the 2018-19 Medicare Present Beneficiary Survey (MCBS) to find out the probability that low-income beneficiaries report unmet wants due to price for dental, imaginative and prescient, and listening to providers, in addition to whether or not a plan’s star rankings are an indicating metric in income-based disparities.

What it Finds

  • Total, 11%, 4%, and a couple of% of beneficiaries reported unmet dental, imaginative and prescient, and listening to want, respectively, because of price issues.
  • No matter plan profit generosity, low-income beneficiaries had been extra possible than high-income beneficiaries to report an unmet want due to price. After adjustment, beneficiaries with incomes of 200% of poverty or much less had been 6.2, 1.8, and 1.9 proportion factors extra more likely to report a dental, imaginative and prescient, or listening to unmet want, respectively, due to price.
  • The authors discovered no proof that increased star rankings had been constantly related to decrease unmet want due to price, and extra beneficiaries with an unmet dental want due to price had been enrolled in low-star plans in comparison with these with out unmet dental want due to price.
  • The authors discovered that dental unmet wants because of price, however not imaginative and prescient or listening to unmet wants, had been decrease amongst beneficiaries enrolled in increased star-rated plans. Nonetheless, this consequence didn’t appear to consequence from bigger high quality bonuses that had been paid primarily based on previous-year rankings.

Why it Issues

A purpose for the recognition of Medicare Benefit (MA) amongst low-income beneficiaries is that  plans typically provide supplemental advantages at minimal or no premiums. Nonetheless, knowledge usually are not out there about enrollees’ entry to and use of those supplemental advantages, or the standard of these advantages. Supplemental advantages for dental, imaginative and prescient, or listening to providers may not be contributing to equitable entry for beneficiaries throughout earnings ranges. Enrollment in plans, rated extremely within the earlier yr and subsequently receiving increased high quality bonuses, doesn’t decrease the incidence of dental, imaginative and prescient, or listening to unmet wants due to price. Presently, supplemental advantages usually are not standardized, contributing to Medicare beneficiary confusion amid an already complicated alternative panorama. Just like the ACA Marketplaces, the proportion of MA beneficiaries who report evaluating plans and advantages is decrease amongst low-income beneficiaries, resulting in them to stay of their present plan, regardless of higher choices doubtlessly being out there.

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